Hanuere 1, 2026, Ao Whānui — I te taenga mai o ngā karaka huri noa i te ao ki ngā wā tuatahi o te tau 2026, kei te whakanui ngā iwi katoa i te Tau Hou i roto i ngā huarahi rerekē. I te tau 2025, i whakaatu te ōhanga o te ao i ngā tohu o te whakaoranga pumau ahakoa ngā wero e mau tonu ana. I raro i tēnei horopaki, i pāngia ngā kai kēne, hei wāhanga nui o te hokohoko o te ao, e ngā whanaketanga me ngā huringa hou. I a tātou e mihi ana ki te Tau Hou, ehara i te mea ko te tīmatanga hou anake tā tātou e whakanui ana, engari e whakaaroaro ana hoki ki te mahi a te hokohoko kai kēne i te tau 2025, me te titiro whakamua ki ōna au i te tau 2026.
Arotake i te Hokohoko Kai Kēne i te tau 2025
I te tau 2025, i whakaatu te hokohoko kai kēne o te ao i te tipu pumau. E ai ki tePūrongo Hokohoko Kai o te Ao 2025I tukuna e te International Food Trade Association (IFTA) me te Food and Agriculture Organization o te United Nations (FAO), ko te uara hokohoko katoa o ngā kai kēne i eke ki te $185 piriona, he pikinga tau-ki-te-tau o te 4.5%. Ko te nuinga o tēnei tipu i ahu mai i te whakaoranga āta haere o ngā mekameka tuku o te ao, te pikinga o te hiahia o ngā kaihoko mō ngā hua kai watea, me ngā painga o ngā kai kēne i roto i te rokiroki me te kawe.
Ngā Whenua Kaweake NuiI te tau 2025, ko Haina, te Hononga o Amerika, Thailand, me Itari ngā kaihokohoko matua o ngā kai kēne. I mau tonu a Haina i tōna tūranga hei kaihokohoko nui rawa atu o te ao mō ngā kai kēne, me ngā uara kaweake tata ki te $42 piriona, he pikinga 5.8% i whakaritea ki te tau o mua. Ko te Hononga o Amerika te tuarua, me ngā uara kaweake tata ki te $38 piriona, he pikinga 4.2% i ia tau. Ko Thailand, i tautokona e te kaha o te kaweake i roto i ngā kēne hua (ina koa ko te paināporo me te māngo), i eke ki ngā uara kaweake tata ki te $15 piriona, he pikinga 6.5%.
Ngā Mākete Kawemai NuiKo ngā mākete kawemai matua mō ngā kai kēne ko te Hononga o Amerika, Hapani, Tiamana, me te United Kingdom. Hei te whenua kawemai nui rawa atu o ngā kai kēne, i tuhia e te United States ngā uara kawemai tata ki te $32 piriona i te tau 2025, he pikinga 3.8% mai i te tau o mua. I haere tonu te tipu o te hiahia o Hapani mō ngā kai moana kēne (ina koa ko te tuna me te hāmana), me ngā uara kawemai tata ki te $12 piriona, he pikinga 5.2%. I noho pumau tonu te mākete Pākehā, me Tiamana me te United Kingdom e ripoata ana i ngā uara kawemai $10 piriona me te $8 piriona.
Ngā Auahatanga HokohokoI te tau 2025, i whakaatuhia e te hokohoko kai kēne ēnei au e whai ake nei:
- Te Pikinga Ake o te Mōhiotanga Hauora: I tino piki ake te hiahia o ngā kaihoko mō ngā kai kēne iti-konutai, kore-tāpiri, me ngā kai waro, ā, i akiaki i te hokohoko o ngā hua e pā ana.
- Te Arotahi ki ngā Takai Tauwhiro: Ko ngā takai hoa-taiao (pērā i ngā kēne whakarewa hangarua) te kaupapa matua i hokohoko ai rātou, ā, he maha ngā whenua kawemai i whakatakoto i ngā paerewa taiao tino kaha ake.
- Te Tipu o te Mākete Hou: I tere te piki haere o te hiahia mō ngā kai kēne i te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti o Āhia, te Waenganui Rawhiti, me Āwherika, ā, kua noho hei wāhi tipu hou mō te hokohoko.
Te Tirohanga mō te Hokohoko Kai Kēne i te tau 2026
I te tirohanga whakamua ki te tau 2026, e matapaetia ana ka mau tonu te tere tipu o te hokohoko kai kēne. E ai ki ngā matapae a te IFTA, e matapaetia ana ka neke atu te uara hokohoko o te ao mō ngā kai kēne i te $195 piriona i te tau 2026, e tohu ana i te tipu tau-ki-te-tau tata ki te 5%. Ko ngā ia matua mō te tau 2026 ko:
- Arotautanga o te mekameka tukuMā te whakaoranga anō o ngā pūnaha kawe kai o te ao me te whakamahinga o ngā hangarau matihiko, ka nui ake te whai hua me te mārama o te mekameka tuku kai kēne. E matapaetia ana ka nui ake te mahi a te hangarau poraka mekameka ki te whai i ngā kai me te whakahaere kounga.
- Te Tipu AuahaI te tau 2026, ko te auahatanga hua te mea nui hei akiaki i te tipu o te hokohoko. Hei tauira, ko ngā kai kēne tipu (pērā i ngā pīni kēne me ngā hua pūmua huawhenua) me ngā kai kēne mahi (pērā i ngā hua kua whakakahangia ki ngā probiotics, huaora rānei) e matapaetia ana ka nui ake te aro ki ēnei.
- Ngā Pānga o ngā Whakaaetanga Tauhokohoko ā-RoheMā ngā whakaaetanga hokohoko ā-rohe hou (pērā i te Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, RCEP) ka whakatairanga ake i te hokohoko kai kēne i te rohe o Āhia-Moana-nui-a-Kiwa. Mā te whakaiti i ngā taripa me te iti ake o ngā arai kore-taripa ka nui ake ngā whai wāhitanga mō ngā whenua kaweake.
- Te Whakawhanaketanga o te Tauhokohoko TauwhiroKa noho ko te tiaki taiao me te oranga tonutanga hei kaupapa matua i te tau 2026. Ka pāngia ngā rauemi tākai, ngā tukunga waro mō te kawe, me ngā paerewa taiao i roto i te tukanga whakaputa kai kēne e ngā ture pakari ake. I taua wā, ko te hiahia o ngā kaihoko mō ngā hua "kore-waro" ka akiaki i ngā kamupene ki te whakamahi i ngā tikanga hoahoa taiao.
- Te Pūmanawa o ngā Mākete Puta AkeKa noho tonu a Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti, te Waenganui Rawhiti, me Āwherika hei pūkaha tipu mō te hokohoko kai kēne. I te tere haere o te noho tāone me te whānui haere o te hunga waenga-papa i roto i ēnei rohe, ka piki ake te hiahia mō ngā hua kai watea me te roa.
Whakamutunga
Ehara i te mea he wā whakanui noa te Rā Hou 2026, engari he wā nui hoki hei titiro whakamua ki te heke mai o te hokohoko kai o te ao. Hei wāhanga nui o te hokohoko o te ao, ka whakamahia tonutia e ngā kai kēne ōna painga hei whakatutuki i ngā hiahia o ngā kaihoko o te ao katoa i te tau e haere ake nei. E karanga ana te International Food Trade Association ki ngā kāwanatanga, ki ngā pakihi, me ngā whakahaere ahumahi kia whakapakari i te mahi tahi me te whakatairanga tahi i te whanaketanga pumau o te hokohoko kai kēne, hei tautoko i te haumarutanga kai o te ao me te oranga ōhanga.
Wā tuku: Hakihea-29-2025